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Red124
12644.1
216844.9
568738.4
Blue107
264838.9
169931.6
206743.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251086080100140160180124107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#26
44.90.0
37.337.3
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End7.6
red by 1.6
2067
#13
43.40.4
42.542.1
Auto16.2
Teleop22.3
End4.8
Second
126
#6
44.10.0
42.542.5
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End10.4
red by 5.1
2648
#25
38.90.4
34.934.6
Auto9.7
Teleop24.9
End4.4
Third
5687
#20
38.40.0
39.139.1
Auto11.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
red by 6.9
1699
#44
31.60.4
30.329.9
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
46%Capture oddsEarned59%Capture oddsMissed