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Qual 552016 New England District Championship
Red129
490936.2
556324.8
19560.4
Blue133
12550.7
405537.6
417632.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119118110115125130135129133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#11
60.40.5
57.3→57.8
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
red by 9.8
125
#2
50.70.8
49.0→49.8
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
Second
4909
#58
36.20.5
34.3→34.8
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
blue by 1.4
4055
#16
37.60.8
33.0→33.8
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
Third
5563
#62
24.80.5
24.5→25.0
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End5.1
blue by 7.4
4176
#33
32.20.8
33.4→34.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsEarned68%Capture oddsEarned