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Qual 562016 New England District Championship
Red118
206436.9
127729.7
23054.8
Blue134
346134.1
81130.5
7840.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12992406080100120140160180200118134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#14
54.80.4
51.9→51.5
Auto15.3
Teleop35.3
End4.2
red by 14.5
78
#28
40.32.6
33.3→35.9
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End5.8
Second
2064
#18
36.90.4
35.6→35.1
Auto10.9
Teleop12.6
End13.4
red by 2.7
3461
#55
34.12.6
32.2→34.8
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Third
1277
#42
29.70.4
32.2→31.7
Auto11.1
Teleop13.3
End5.3
blue by 0.8
811
#51
30.52.6
28.9→31.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsEarned