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Red132
490936.2
216844.9
83934.5
Blue134
105844.4
455730.4
112436.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11110560708090100120130140132134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#26
44.91.0
37.338.3
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End7.6
red by 0.5
1058
#35
44.42.1
44.446.5
Auto9.1
Teleop23.8
End11.4
Second
4909
#58
36.21.0
34.835.8
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
blue by 0.7
36.92.1
32.234.2
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Third
839
#54
34.51.0
35.436.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.3
red by 4.1
4557
#45
30.42.1
26.228.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
52%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsEarned