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Red134
115342.5
456455.3
18135.3
Blue126
127729.7
568630.7
13354.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13511380100120160180200134126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.30.2
55.355.1
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End11.4
red by 0.9
133
#4
54.40.9
55.256.1
Auto14.1
Teleop29.6
End10.7
Second
42.50.2
38.238.0
Auto10.2
Teleop26.8
End5.5
red by 11.8
5686
#41
30.70.9
26.127.0
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.8
Third
181
#49
35.30.2
33.733.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.0
End5.3
red by 5.6
1277
#42
29.70.9
31.732.6
Auto11.1
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
83%Capture oddsEarned19%Capture oddsEarned