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Red113
206436.9
151220.6
46732.3
Blue91
568738.4
556324.8
17540.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80114406010014016018011391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#18
36.91.6
35.136.7
Auto10.9
Teleop12.6
End13.4
blue by 3.1
175
#30
40.01.6
40.939.3
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End9.9
Second
467
#56
32.31.6
28.530.2
Auto5.9
Teleop19.6
End6.8
blue by 6.1
5687
#20
38.41.6
39.637.9
Auto11.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Third
1512
#63
20.61.6
19.721.4
Auto1.6
Teleop13.4
End5.6
blue by 4.2
5563
#62
24.81.6
25.023.4
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsMissed