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Red132
55849.4
176843.6
173531.6
Blue139
19560.4
8833.8
615333.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181256080100140160180200132139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#34
49.41.1
42.643.7
Auto10.0
Teleop30.2
End9.2
blue by 11.1
195
#11
60.41.2
57.859.0
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
Second
1768
#27
43.61.1
40.641.7
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End10.7
red by 9.8
88
#46
33.81.2
31.332.5
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End4.7
Third
1735
#37
31.61.1
32.533.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
blue by 1.4
6153
#17
33.01.2
31.632.8
Auto10.0
Teleop18.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned37%Capture oddsEarned