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Red100
83934.5
206436.9
556324.8
Blue105
173531.6
490936.2
17747.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95125406080140160180200100105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#18
36.90.4
36.736.3
Auto10.9
Teleop12.6
End13.4
blue by 10.6
177
#10
47.51.2
47.246.0
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End6.6
Second
839
#54
34.50.4
36.436.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.3
blue by 1.7
4909
#58
36.21.2
36.535.4
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Third
5563
#62
24.80.4
23.423.0
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End5.1
blue by 6.8
1735
#37
31.61.2
33.632.5
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
23%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsMissed