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Red149
19560.4
12550.7
17647.5
Blue105
615333.0
17540.0
404842.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16710550150200149105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#11
60.40.3
59.058.7
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
red by 18.4
4048
#21
42.10.4
39.539.0
Auto7.9
Teleop27.3
End6.8
Second
125
#2
50.70.3
49.949.6
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
red by 10.7
175
#30
40.00.4
39.338.9
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End9.9
Third
176
#23
47.50.3
44.243.9
Auto8.5
Teleop29.3
End9.7
red by 14.4
6153
#17
33.00.4
32.832.4
Auto10.0
Teleop18.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
92%Capture oddsMissed31%Capture oddsEarned