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Qual 772016 New England District Championship
Red120
287737.1
346134.1
46732.3
Blue139
346738.6
115342.5
264838.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10211650150120139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#52
37.11.2
39.1→40.4
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
blue by 5.4
1153
#5
42.52.0
38.0→40.0
Auto10.2
Teleop26.8
End5.5
Second
3461
#55
34.11.2
32.2→33.5
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
blue by 4.8
2648
#25
38.92.0
35.5→37.6
Auto9.7
Teleop24.9
End4.4
Third
467
#56
32.31.2
30.2→31.4
Auto5.9
Teleop19.6
End6.8
blue by 6.3
3467
#32
38.62.0
34.8→36.8
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed51%Capture oddsEarned