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Red74
287631.5
476129.9
568738.4
Blue115
584629.2
7840.3
15534.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10499608012014016074115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#20
38.41.7
37.936.2
Auto11.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
blue by 1.9
78
#28
40.31.2
36.938.1
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End5.8
Second
2876
#50
31.51.7
33.731.9
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 3.4
155
#43
34.91.2
33.034.2
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End7.8
Third
4761
#48
29.91.7
28.326.6
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End5.2
red by 0.8
5846
#31
29.21.2
26.928.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed