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Red114
105844.4
581338.2
596230.5
Blue121
110031.1
405537.6
176843.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010580140160180114121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#35
44.40.1
46.045.9
Auto9.1
Teleop23.8
End11.4
red by 0.8
1768
#27
43.60.7
41.241.9
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End10.7
Second
5813
#36
38.20.1
38.838.8
Auto8.8
Teleop25.4
End4.0
red by 0.6
4055
#16
37.60.7
34.635.3
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
Third
5962
#61
30.50.1
30.029.9
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End4.1
blue by 0.5
1100
#47
31.10.7
29.029.8
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
53%Capture oddsMissed38%Capture oddsEarned