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Qual 812016 New England District Championship
Red115
112436.9
490537.5
24636.6
Blue114
88530.1
237035.7
23841.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105111050150200115114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#12
37.50.7
37.8→38.6
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.5
blue by 3.5
238
#39
41.00.2
40.9→40.7
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Second
1124
#8
36.90.7
36.1→36.8
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.7
red by 1.3
2370
#24
35.70.2
37.5→37.3
Auto9.0
Teleop21.8
End4.9
Third
246
#15
36.60.7
29.9→30.6
Auto12.6
Teleop20.2
End3.8
red by 6.5
885
#53
30.10.2
29.0→28.8
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
44%Capture oddsEarned26%Capture oddsEarned