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Red70
81130.5
208428.6
151220.6
Blue90
183125.5
18135.3
109934.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610002040601201401607090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#51
30.50.9
30.930.0
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
blue by 4.8
181
#49
35.30.3
33.533.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.0
End5.3
Second
2084
#57
28.60.9
26.125.2
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End2.2
blue by 5.8
1099
#40
34.40.3
32.932.6
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.0
Third
1512
#63
20.60.9
20.920.0
Auto1.6
Teleop13.4
End5.6
blue by 5.0
1831
#59
25.50.3
27.927.6
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed31%Capture oddsMissed