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Qual 842016 New England District Championship
Red113
417632.2
8833.8
12644.1
Blue120
17237.2
9524.1
456455.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11112150100150200113120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#6
44.10.2
42.9→43.1
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End10.4
blue by 11.2
4564
#1
55.30.4
55.1→54.7
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End11.4
Second
88
#46
33.80.2
32.5→32.7
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End4.7
blue by 3.5
172
#22
37.20.4
36.8→36.3
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End7.1
Third
4176
#33
32.20.2
34.1→34.3
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
red by 8.1
95
#60
24.10.4
24.6→24.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
64%Capture oddsEarned53%Capture oddsEarned