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Red111
615333.0
17747.5
7840.3
Blue95
46732.3
490936.2
206743.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211138010014016018011195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#10
47.50.4
46.045.7
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End6.6
red by 4.1
2067
#13
43.41.1
44.643.5
Auto16.2
Teleop22.3
End4.8
Second
78
#28
40.30.4
38.137.7
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End5.8
red by 4.1
4909
#58
36.21.1
35.434.3
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Third
6153
#17
33.00.4
32.432.0
Auto10.0
Teleop18.6
End4.4
red by 0.7
467
#56
32.31.1
31.430.3
Auto5.9
Teleop19.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
36%Capture oddsEarned45%Capture oddsMissed