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Qual 862016 New England District Championship
Red117
581338.2
584629.2
12550.7
Blue139
151956.7
112436.9
206436.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11714150100200250117139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
50.70.0
49.6→49.7
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
blue by 6.1
1519
#3
56.70.1
59.6→59.7
Auto16.9
Teleop34.6
End5.2
Second
5813
#36
38.20.0
38.8→38.8
Auto8.8
Teleop25.4
End4.0
red by 1.3
1124
#8
36.90.1
36.8→36.9
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Third
5846
#31
29.20.0
28.1→28.2
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End6.1
blue by 7.7
2064
#18
36.90.1
36.3→36.4
Auto10.9
Teleop12.6
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
36%Capture oddsEarned25%Capture oddsEarned