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Red120
287737.1
176843.6
455730.4
Blue110
173531.6
568738.4
81130.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171006080140160120110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#27
43.60.6
41.942.5
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End10.7
red by 5.2
5687
#20
38.40.8
36.237.0
Auto11.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Second
2877
#52
37.10.6
40.441.0
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
red by 5.5
1735
#37
31.60.8
32.533.2
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
Third
4557
#45
30.40.6
28.729.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End5.8
blue by 0.2
811
#51
30.50.8
30.030.8
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsMissed19%Capture oddsEarned