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Red110
17540.0
8833.8
169931.6
Blue140
216844.9
23841.0
16642.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103123406080140160180110140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#30
40.00.5
38.939.3
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End9.9
blue by 4.9
2168
#26
44.91.6
39.741.3
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End7.6
Second
88
#46
33.80.5
32.733.2
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End4.7
blue by 8.2
166
#9
42.01.6
35.637.2
Auto14.0
Teleop23.2
End4.8
Third
1699
#44
31.60.5
31.431.8
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4
blue by 9.4
238
#39
41.01.6
40.742.3
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
23%Capture oddsEarned47%Capture oddsEarned