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Red120
346134.1
17237.2
264838.9
Blue128
456455.3
22830.2
490537.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107128406080100120140160180120128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#25
38.90.5
37.638.1
Auto9.7
Teleop24.9
End4.4
blue by 16.4
55.30.4
54.755.1
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End11.4
Second
172
#22
37.20.5
36.336.9
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End7.1
blue by 0.3
4905
#12
37.50.4
38.639.0
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.5
Third
3461
#55
34.10.5
33.534.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
red by 4.0
228
#19
30.20.4
28.228.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsEarned57%Capture oddsEarned