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Red99
183125.5
24636.6
55849.4
Blue96
596230.5
109934.4
568630.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109260801001201401601809996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#34
49.40.4
46.546.1
Auto10.0
Teleop30.2
End9.2
red by 14.9
1099
#40
34.40.2
32.632.8
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.0
Second
246
#15
36.60.4
30.630.3
Auto12.6
Teleop20.2
End3.8
red by 5.9
5686
#41
30.70.2
30.530.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.8
Third
1831
#59
25.50.4
27.627.2
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.8
blue by 5.0
5962
#61
30.50.2
29.930.1
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsMissed21%Capture oddsEarned