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Red89
81130.5
17237.2
455730.4
Blue136
16642.0
24636.6
615333.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100103020030040050060070080089136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#22
37.20.5
36.936.3
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End7.1
blue by 4.8
166
#9
42.02.4
37.239.6
Auto14.0
Teleop23.2
End4.8
Second
811
#51
30.50.5
30.830.3
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
blue by 6.1
246
#15
36.62.4
30.332.7
Auto12.6
Teleop20.2
End3.8
Third
4557
#45
30.40.5
29.328.8
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End5.8
blue by 2.7
6153
#17
33.02.4
32.034.4
Auto10.0
Teleop18.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
25%Capture oddsMissed66%Capture oddsEarned