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Red107
208428.6
568630.7
105844.4
Blue115
206743.4
287737.1
12550.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98145406080120160180200107115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#35
44.40.3
45.545.8
Auto9.1
Teleop23.8
End11.4
blue by 6.3
125
#2
50.72.3
49.747.4
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
Second
5686
#41
30.70.3
30.731.0
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.8
blue by 12.6
2067
#13
43.42.3
43.541.3
Auto16.2
Teleop22.3
End4.8
Third
2084
#57
28.60.3
26.326.6
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End2.2
blue by 8.6
2877
#52
37.12.3
41.038.7
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
40%Capture oddsEarned78%Capture oddsMissed