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Red113
287631.5
22830.2
346134.1
Blue95
172934.1
556324.8
8833.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9892608012014011395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#55
34.10.3
34.034.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Level
1729
#29
34.10.4
32.132.5
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End5.0
Second
2876
#50
31.50.3
31.531.8
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 2.3
88
#46
33.80.4
33.233.6
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End4.7
Third
228
#19
30.20.3
28.628.9
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End5.7
red by 5.4
5563
#62
24.80.4
24.124.5
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned13%Capture oddsEarned