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Red177
25466.7
124163.7
70843.6
Blue197
467856.7
347651.1
21753.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23220550100150250300350400450177197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
66.70.4
67.867.4
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
red by 10.0
4678
#21
56.70.2
56.656.4
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End7.8
Second
63.70.4
64.864.4
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End7.1
red by 10.5
217
#8
53.20.2
53.152.9
Auto13.4
Teleop29.2
End10.7
Third
708
#19
43.60.4
44.043.6
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End12.0
blue by 7.5
3476
#32
51.10.2
51.050.8
Auto15.9
Teleop27.8
End7.4