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Red180
25466.7
124163.7
173143.1
Blue225
467856.7
347651.1
21753.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2302050100300400500180225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
66.70.7
67.466.7
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
red by 10.0
4678
#21
56.70.3
56.456.7
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End7.8
Second
63.70.7
64.463.7
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End7.1
red by 10.5
217
#8
53.20.3
52.953.2
Auto13.4
Teleop29.2
End10.7
Third
1731
#16
43.10.7
43.843.1
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End4.0
blue by 8.0
3476
#32
51.10.3
50.851.1
Auto15.9
Teleop27.8
End7.4