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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Newton Division
Red245
25466.7
124163.7
173143.1
Blue144
141839.6
331447.7
22933.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238140050100200300350400245144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
66.70.6
66.5→67.1
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
red by 19.1
3314
#26
47.70.4
48.1→47.7
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Second
1241
#1
63.70.6
63.5→64.1
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End7.1
red by 24.1
1418
#12
39.60.4
40.0→39.6
Auto11.1
Teleop20.2
End8.3
Third
1731
#16
43.10.6
43.2→43.8
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End4.0
red by 9.9
229
#13
33.20.4
33.6→33.2
Auto8.8
Teleop18.7
End5.6