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Red242
25466.7
124163.7
70843.6
Blue70
393741.3
17955.5
362055.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230202010030040050060024270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
66.70.4
67.167.5
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
red by 11.2
179
#5
55.52.0
58.656.5
Auto12.7
Teleop31.0
End11.9
Second
63.70.4
64.164.5
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End7.1
red by 8.3
55.42.0
58.556.5
Auto14.5
Teleop35.2
End5.8
Third
708
#19
43.60.4
43.343.7
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End12.0
red by 2.3
3937
#34
41.32.0
43.341.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7