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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Newton Division
Red205
393741.3
17955.5
362055.4
Blue187
515040.1
12547.7
164044.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218173100150200250300205187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#5
55.50.2
60.2→60.0
Auto12.7
Teleop31.0
End11.9
red by 7.8
125
#33
47.70.0
47.6→47.6
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Second
3620
#9
55.40.2
60.2→59.9
Auto14.5
Teleop35.2
End5.8
red by 11.1
1640
#17
44.30.0
44.2→44.2
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
Third
3937
#34
41.30.2
45.0→44.7
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
red by 1.1
5150
#6
40.10.0
40.0→40.0
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End7.5