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Semifinal 1-32016 Newton Division
Red210
25466.7
124163.7
70843.6
Blue170
336043.7
17955.5
362055.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236191050100150300350400210170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
66.70.4
68.2→67.8
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
red by 11.2
179
#5
55.50.2
55.8→55.5
Auto12.7
Teleop31.0
End11.9
Second
1241
#1
63.70.4
65.2→64.8
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End7.1
red by 8.3
3620
#9
55.40.2
55.7→55.4
Auto14.5
Teleop35.2
End5.8
Third
708
#19
43.60.4
44.4→44.0
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End12.0
blue by 0.1
3360
#47
43.70.2
43.9→43.7
Auto11.2
Teleop20.9
End11.6