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Quarterfinal 2-32016 Newton Division
Red185
393741.3
17955.5
362055.4
Blue177
515040.1
12547.7
164044.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2131740100300400185177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#5
55.50.5
59.0→58.6
Auto12.7
Teleop31.0
End11.9
red by 7.8
125
#33
47.70.0
47.7→47.7
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Second
3620
#9
55.40.5
59.0→58.5
Auto14.5
Teleop35.2
End5.8
red by 11.1
1640
#17
44.30.0
44.3→44.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
Third
3937
#34
41.30.5
43.8→43.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
red by 1.1
5150
#6
40.10.0
40.1→40.1
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End7.5