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Red205
467856.7
347651.1
21753.2
Blue180
6759.4
517261.3
147736.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2131930100300400500600205180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#21
56.70.3
56.956.6
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End7.8
blue by 4.6
5172
#10
61.30.1
61.361.3
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
Second
217
#8
53.20.3
53.453.1
Auto13.4
Teleop29.2
End10.7
blue by 6.1
67
#4
59.40.1
59.359.4
Auto15.8
Teleop31.2
End12.4
Third
3476
#32
51.10.3
51.251.0
Auto15.9
Teleop27.8
End7.4
red by 14.7
1477
#48
36.40.1
36.336.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1