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Red127
393741.3
515040.1
331447.7
Blue115
549925.8
517261.3
568626.4
85%Model gave it15%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910150150200127115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#26
47.70.2
43.142.9
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
blue by 13.7
5172
#10
61.30.7
54.955.6
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
Second
3937
#34
41.30.2
46.646.4
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
red by 14.8
5686
#56
26.40.7
30.731.5
Auto11.1
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Third
40.10.2
40.139.9
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End7.5
red by 14.4
5499
#27
25.80.7
18.319.1
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
63%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed