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Red121
348139.9
366341.9
170019.5
Blue73
607215.5
588525.1
467856.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710040608012014016012173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#14
41.90.5
37.237.8
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End4.6
blue by 14.8
4678
#21
56.71.7
51.049.3
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End7.8
Second
3481
#44
39.90.5
39.940.4
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
red by 14.8
5885
#69
25.12.2
28.426.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Third
1700
#71
19.50.5
25.726.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.8
End1.0
red by 4.0
6072
#73
15.51.9
18.616.8
Auto6.9
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsMissed