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Red49
585130.6
396113.7
129636.5
Blue132
362055.4
10326.3
147736.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8012405010015020049132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#46
36.52.3
40.538.2
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
blue by 18.9
55.40.5
56.356.8
Auto14.5
Teleop35.2
End5.8
Second
5851
#72
30.62.3
32.329.9
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End4.1
blue by 5.8
1477
#48
36.40.5
33.934.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
Third
3961
#74
13.72.3
11.39.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 12.6
103
#66
26.30.5
24.224.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed79%Capture oddsEarned