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Red133
171033.4
616726.3
173143.1
Blue85
210229.5
336043.7
424234.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881055015020013385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#16
43.11.4
38.940.3
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End4.0
blue by 0.6
3360
#47
43.71.0
38.537.5
Auto11.2
Teleop20.9
End11.6
Second
1710
#20
33.41.7
28.830.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
blue by 1.2
4242
#54
34.61.0
32.131.1
Auto12.0
Teleop19.3
End3.3
Third
6167
#55
26.32.0
20.021.9
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End5.3
blue by 3.1
2102
#58
29.51.0
29.228.2
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed