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Red101
350434.7
4840.6
616726.3
Blue115
129636.5
12547.7
607215.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107104708090100120130140101115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#22
40.60.2
42.642.5
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
blue by 7.1
125
#33
47.70.5
47.046.5
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Second
3504
#59
34.70.2
34.934.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
blue by 1.8
1296
#46
36.50.5
38.037.6
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
Third
6167
#55
26.30.2
26.125.9
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End5.3
red by 10.8
6072
#73
15.50.5
16.916.5
Auto6.9
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed