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Qual 1002016 Newton Division
Red140
588525.1
151959.1
25466.7
Blue139
11864.1
12244.1
412228.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16013480100120180200220240140139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
66.71.1
65.0→63.9
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
red by 2.7
118
#11
64.10.3
64.3→64.6
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End9.2
Second
1519
#3
59.11.1
61.0→59.9
Auto18.6
Teleop35.8
End4.7
red by 15.1
122
#37
44.10.3
43.5→43.9
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End4.6
Third
5885
#69
25.11.1
25.7→24.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End5.2
blue by 3.3
4122
#40
28.40.3
26.1→26.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
72%Capture oddsEarned83%Capture oddsMissed