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Red97
261440.3
330944.2
581834.7
Blue107
503921.8
393741.3
348139.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251145010015020097107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#43
44.21.5
46.444.9
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.7
red by 2.9
3937
#34
41.31.4
48.947.6
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
Second
2614
#39
40.31.5
41.439.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.2
red by 0.5
3481
#44
39.91.4
41.039.6
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
Third
5818
#41
34.71.5
32.530.9
Auto7.7
Teleop21.0
End6.1
red by 12.9
5039
#24
21.81.4
22.921.5
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
27%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed