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Red94
214731.6
366341.9
396113.7
Blue112
414632.1
474427.4
568626.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8887707580859510010511094112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#14
41.90.6
42.142.7
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End4.6
red by 9.8
4146
#35
32.11.1
31.432.6
Auto8.7
Teleop14.0
End9.4
Second
2147
#38
31.60.6
32.833.4
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End3.8
red by 4.2
4744
#68
27.41.1
25.827.0
Auto10.6
Teleop9.6
End7.2
Third
3961
#74
13.70.6
10.611.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 12.8
5686
#56
26.41.1
27.528.7
Auto11.1
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed