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Red148
545030.4
336043.7
400144.7
Blue136
357434.7
583216.5
21753.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219220406080100140160180148136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.72.3
42.344.6
Auto9.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
blue by 8.6
217
#8
53.22.5
47.550.0
Auto13.4
Teleop29.2
End10.7
Second
3360
#47
43.72.3
41.944.2
Auto11.2
Teleop20.9
End11.6
red by 9.0
3574
#28
34.72.5
30.132.6
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
Third
5450
#75
30.42.3
29.031.3
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End5.3
red by 13.9
5832
#49
16.52.5
15.818.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsEarned42%Capture oddsEarned