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Red90
167632.5
568626.4
10326.3
Blue155
173143.1
455024.8
512440.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511020406010012014016018090155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#18
32.50.4
31.431.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.3
blue by 10.6
1731
#16
43.11.8
40.242.0
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End4.0
Second
5686
#56
26.40.4
28.728.3
Auto11.1
Teleop11.7
End3.6
blue by 14.1
5124
#30
40.51.8
38.640.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End5.7
Third
103
#66
26.30.4
25.925.5
Auto4.9
Teleop15.8
End5.6
red by 1.5
4550
#45
24.81.8
24.426.2
Auto11.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
57%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned