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Qual 1142016 Newton Division
Red107
6759.4
366341.9
583216.5
Blue114
503921.8
173143.1
18834.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339350150200107114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#4
59.41.8
60.7→59.0
Auto15.8
Teleop31.2
End12.4
red by 16.3
1731
#16
43.11.2
42.0→43.2
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End4.0
Second
3663
#14
41.91.8
44.4→42.6
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End4.6
red by 7.4
188
#51
34.51.2
33.3→34.5
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End5.7
Third
5832
#49
16.51.8
18.3→16.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 5.3
5039
#24
21.81.2
20.6→21.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
59%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsEarned