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Qual 1152016 Newton Division
Red132
347651.1
512440.5
515040.1
Blue120
336043.7
550544.6
527424.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811150100150200132120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#32
51.10.1
49.9→50.0
Auto15.9
Teleop27.8
End7.4
red by 6.6
5505
#63
44.60.5
44.0→44.6
Auto8.9
Teleop26.2
End9.5
Second
5124
#30
40.50.1
40.4→40.5
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End5.7
blue by 3.1
3360
#47
43.70.5
44.2→44.7
Auto11.2
Teleop20.9
End11.6
Third
5150
#6
40.10.1
39.9→40.0
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End7.5
red by 15.8
5274
#50
24.30.5
23.8→24.3
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
82%Capture oddsEarned11%Capture oddsMissed