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Red96
427635.1
527424.3
141839.6
Blue82
455024.8
581725.9
412228.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108710501502009682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#12
39.60.2
42.642.4
Auto11.1
Teleop20.2
End8.3
red by 11.2
4122
#40
28.40.1
26.226.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Second
4276
#52
35.10.2
33.933.6
Auto11.0
Teleop17.8
End6.2
red by 9.1
5817
#64
25.90.1
26.226.0
Auto9.6
Teleop14.9
End1.4
Third
5274
#50
24.30.4
23.022.7
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 0.5
4550
#45
24.80.1
21.821.7
Auto11.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed