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Red104
581834.7
400144.7
366341.9
Blue103
22933.2
515040.1
12638.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116115100110120130140104103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.6
38.938.3
Auto9.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
red by 4.5
40.11.3
39.938.6
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End7.5
Second
3663
#14
41.90.6
37.837.2
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End4.6
red by 3.8
126
#29
38.11.3
44.042.7
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End8.9
Third
5818
#41
34.70.6
35.935.3
Auto7.7
Teleop21.0
End6.1
red by 1.6
229
#13
33.21.3
29.127.8
Auto8.8
Teleop18.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsMissed87%Capture oddsEarned