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Red149
474427.4
176426.3
25466.7
Blue144
336043.7
331447.7
261440.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181220200300400500149144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
66.71.9
64.166.0
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
red by 19.1
3314
#26
47.71.1
42.944.0
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Second
4744
#68
27.42.3
26.929.2
Auto10.6
Teleop9.6
End7.2
blue by 16.3
3360
#47
43.71.1
37.538.6
Auto11.2
Teleop20.9
End11.6
Third
1764
#65
26.31.9
24.726.6
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End4.9
blue by 14.1
2614
#39
40.31.1
37.838.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsEarned