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Qual 162016 Newton Division
Red94
170019.5
414632.1
114341.7
Blue127
568626.4
6759.4
203526.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9311605015020094127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#61
41.70.0
38.9→38.9
Auto10.6
Teleop25.6
End5.5
blue by 17.6
67
#4
59.41.2
55.3→56.4
Auto15.8
Teleop31.2
End12.4
Second
4146
#35
32.10.0
28.8→28.8
Auto8.7
Teleop14.0
End9.4
red by 5.7
5686
#56
26.41.2
31.5→32.6
Auto11.1
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Third
1700
#71
19.50.0
26.3→26.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.8
End1.0
blue by 6.7
2035
#15
26.21.2
22.7→23.9
Auto8.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed36%Capture oddsEarned