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Qual 172016 Newton Division
Red110
4840.6
129636.5
461334.0
Blue140
424234.6
591424.1
517261.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117108406080100140160180110140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#22
40.60.2
40.0→39.9
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
blue by 20.7
5172
#10
61.31.9
55.6→57.5
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
Second
1296
#46
36.50.2
38.2→38.0
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
red by 1.9
4242
#54
34.61.9
31.1→33.0
Auto12.0
Teleop19.3
End3.3
Third
4613
#31
34.00.2
34.1→34.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.9
End5.2
red by 9.9
5914
#57
24.12.6
19.5→22.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsEarned