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Red111
616726.3
467856.7
12244.1
Blue88
330944.2
396113.7
21753.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151022040608014016011188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#21
56.70.3
49.349.1
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End7.8
red by 3.5
217
#8
53.21.2
47.346.0
Auto13.4
Teleop29.2
End10.7
Second
122
#37
44.10.3
39.038.7
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End4.6
blue by 0.1
3309
#43
44.21.2
45.344.0
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.7
Third
6167
#55
26.30.4
21.921.6
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End5.3
red by 12.6
3961
#74
13.71.2
9.07.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsMissed26%Capture oddsMissed